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21 Oct · 20:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1517
3-0Final setsAdamus won
WPWojciech Pytlas
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1508
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pytlas at 51%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Wojciech Pytlas favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
57 points played
Under
Set handicap
Wojciech Pytlas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Wojciech Pytlas −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
9.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Pytlas.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 45% → final 99%
Wojciech Pytlas ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsAdamus recovered from 42%56 points · 3 games