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21 Oct · 20:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1340
3-1Final setsMrugala won
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1314
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 50%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Artur Szoltysek — profile →Head-to-head →
How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Artur Szoltysek.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 46% → final 89%
Artur Szoltysek ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts72 points · 4 games