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21 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMariusz Zwolinski
🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski
ELO 1357
3-1Final setsZwolinski won
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1259
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 60%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Zwolinski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 76.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Zwolinski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Kuba Golaszewski.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 64% → final 99%
Kuba Golaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsZwolinski recovered from 12%72 points · 5 games