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21 Oct · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASArtur Szoltysek
🇵🇱Artur Szoltysek
ELO 1314
1-3Final setsKowalczyk won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1302
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szoltysek at 51%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Szoltysek favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Artur Szoltysek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Szoltysek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Szoltysek is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Artur Szoltysekpre 55% → final 90%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 35 pts68 points · 4 games