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21 Oct · 22:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1302
0-3Final setsGolaszewski won
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1259
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 58%. The actual result was Kuba Golaszewski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 74.5
47 points played
Under
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Kowalczyk is favoured to win, below means Kuba Golaszewski.

▲ Marcin Kowalczykpre 55% → final 99%
Kuba Golaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 42%71 points · 4 games