Bartlomiej Mrugala vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

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21 Oct · 22:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala

ELO 1340

3-1Final setsMrugala won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1302

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 52%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Mrugala 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Bartlomiej Mrugala — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.8

Favourite won

Total 75.5

71 points played

Under

Set handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Bartlomiej Mrugala −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

3.95

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 49% → final 51%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 49 ptsMrugala recovered from 3%69 points · 4 games