22 Oct · 01:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AB
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1425
FormLWLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1580
FormLLWWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)