Mariusz Zwolinski vs Marcin Kowalczyk — TT Elite Series

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21 Oct · 23:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Zwolinski

ELO 1354

3-0Final setsZwolinski won

🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk

ELO 1304

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zwolinski at 56%. The actual result was Mariusz Zwolinski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Zwolinski — profile →Marcin Kowalczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.85

Upset

Total 75.5

59 points played

Under

Set handicap

Kowalczyk −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Kowalczyk −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

6.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Zwolinski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Mariusz Zwolinskipre 53% → final 5%

Marcin Kowalczyk ▼

Biggest swing 73 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games