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22 Oct · 00:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1557
0-3Final setsBurkacki won
ABAdrian Burkacki
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1457
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 64%. The actual result was Adrian Burkacki 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lebek favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 72.5
58 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lebek −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 0-3 at close
3.55
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Adrian Burkacki.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 69% → final 2%
Adrian Burkacki ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsBurkacki recovered from 23%57 points · 3 games