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22 Oct · 00:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1318
2-3Final setsGolaszewski won
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1256
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 59%. The actual result was Kuba Golaszewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mrugala favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 75.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mrugala −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Kuba Golaszewski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 63% → final 25%
Kuba Golaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsGolaszewski recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games