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22 Oct · 15:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1256
3-2Final setsGolaszewski won
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1318
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mrugala at 57%. The actual result was Kuba Golaszewski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Mrugala favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 75.5
110 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Mrugala −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Mrugala.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 39% → final 75%
Bartlomiej Mrugala ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsGolaszewski recovered from 6%72 points · 5 games