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22 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1390
3-1Final setsCesarz won
MSMateusz Sikon
🇵🇱Mateusz Sikon
ELO 1342
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Cesarz at 52%. The actual result was Milosz Cesarz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Milosz Cesarz favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Milosz Cesarz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Milosz Cesarz −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Sikon.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 56% → final 58%
Mateusz Sikon ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsCesarz recovered from 32%72 points · 5 games