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22 Oct · 12:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JPJakub Pruszkowski
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1540
3-2Final setsPruszkowski won
MJMichal Jozefiak
🇵🇱Michal Jozefiak
ELO 1455
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Pruszkowski at 59%. The actual result was Jakub Pruszkowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pruszkowski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
105 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pruszkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pruszkowski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Pruszkowski is favoured to win, below means Michal Jozefiak.

▲ Jakub Pruszkowskipre 63% → final 1%
Michal Jozefiak ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsJozefiak recovered from 22%62 points · 4 games