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22 Oct · 11:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
WBWitold Buczynski
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1380
3-2Final setsBuczynski won
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1390
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Buczynski at 52%. The actual result was Witold Buczynski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Cesarz favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Cesarz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Cesarz −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Witold Buczynski is favoured to win, below means Milosz Cesarz.

▲ Witold Buczynskipre 49% → final 11%
Milosz Cesarz ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsCesarz recovered from 34%72 points · 4 games