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22 Oct · 03:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1543
1-3Final setsLebek won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1557
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 50%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lebek favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 74.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lebek −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 54% → final 95%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsTkaczyk recovered from 44%72 points · 4 games