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22 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1659
1-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1550
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 62%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kolek favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kolek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kolek −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 60% → final 6%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsWisniewski recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games