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22 Oct · 04:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ZNZbigniew Nocun
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1531
2-3Final setsMichalik won
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1512
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Nocun at 55%. The actual result was Jerzy Michalik 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michalik favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 40.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michalik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michalik −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Zbigniew Nocun is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Michalik.

▲ Zbigniew Nocunpre 52% → final 24%
Jerzy Michalik ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts72 points · 5 games