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22 Oct · 05:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1309
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
BWBlazej Warpas
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1355
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Warpas at 52%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sulkowski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Sulkowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sulkowski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Blazej Warpas.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 51% → final 89%
Blazej Warpas ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsSulkowski recovered from 25%72 points · 4 games