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22 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1543
3-2Final setsTkaczyk won
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1447
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 61%. The actual result was Henryk Tkaczyk 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
102 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tkaczyk −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Urban.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 58% → final 79%
Wojciech Urban ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsTkaczyk recovered from 27%72 points · 5 games