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22 Oct · 16:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LBLukasz Bernacki
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1475
0-3Final setsKoczyba won
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1534
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 53%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 75.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Bernacki is favoured to win, below means Mariusz Koczyba.

▲ Lukasz Bernackipre 43% → final 2%
Mariusz Koczyba ▼
Biggest swing 45 pts60 points · 3 games