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22 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1581
3-1Final setsSkotniczny won
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1557
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 53%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lebek favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Total 74.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lebek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lebek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 50% → final 100%
Marian Lebek ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsSkotniczny recovered from 29%66 points · 4 games