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22 Oct · 07:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1345
3-2Final setsKotwica won
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1318
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Wisniewski at 50%. The actual result was Dawid Kotwica 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kotwica favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kotwica −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kotwica −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dawid Kotwica is favoured to win, below means Bartlomiej Wisniewski.

▲ Dawid Kotwicapre 46% → final 100%
Bartlomiej Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsKotwica recovered from 30%72 points · 5 games