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22 Oct · 06:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1309
3-2Final setsSulkowski won
JLJakub Lamperski
🇵🇱Jakub Lamperski
ELO 1507
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lamperski at 72%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lamperski favoured — closing 1.32
Upset
Total 73.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lamperski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lamperski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Lamperski.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 23% → final 43%
Jakub Lamperski ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsLamperski recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games