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22 Oct · 06:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1543
0-3Final setsBurkacki won
ABAdrian Burkacki
🇵🇱Adrian Burkacki
ELO 1457
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkaczyk at 62%. The actual result was Adrian Burkacki 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tkaczyk favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 74.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Tkaczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tkaczyk −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Adrian Burkacki.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 66% → final 1%
Adrian Burkacki ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsBurkacki recovered from 24%55 points · 3 games