Pawel Kurek vs Rafal Skotniczny — TT Elite Series

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22 Oct · 07:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Pawel Kurek

ELO 1533

3-1Final setsKurek won

🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny

ELO 1581

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 57%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-1 — the underdog won.

Pawel Kurek — profile →Rafal Skotniczny — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Total 74.5

75 points played

Over

Set handicap

Skotniczny −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Skotniczny −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.5

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 46% → final 97%

Rafal Skotniczny ▼

Biggest swing 60 ptsKurek recovered from 39%72 points · 4 games