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22 Oct · 08:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
HTHenryk Tkaczyk
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1543
0-3Final setsSkotniczny won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1581
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 52%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.57
Favourite won
Total 74.5
52 points played
Under
Set handicap
Skotniczny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Skotniczny −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Henryk Tkaczyk is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Henryk Tkaczykpre 44% → final 1%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts50 points · 3 games