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22 Oct · 07:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMarian Lebek
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1557
3-0Final setsLebek won
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1447
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 62%. The actual result was Marian Lebek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lebek favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 74.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lebek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Lebek −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Lebek is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Urban.

▲ Marian Lebekpre 60% → final 99%
Wojciech Urban ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts53 points · 3 games