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22 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMaciej Kolek
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1659
0-3Final setsKostal won
DKDaniel Kostal
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1567
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kolek at 61%. The actual result was Daniel Kostal 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kostal favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
59 points played
Under
Set handicap
Kostal −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Kostal −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maciej Kolek is favoured to win, below means Daniel Kostal.

▲ Maciej Kolekpre 58% → final 7%
Daniel Kostal ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsKostal recovered from 38%58 points · 3 games