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22 Oct · 08:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1309
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1345
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kotwica at 53%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Kotwica favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Kotwica −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Kotwica −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kotwica.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 50% → final 98%
Dawid Kotwica ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsSulkowski recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games