Pawel Kurek vs Marian Lebek — TT Elite Series

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22 Oct · 08:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Pawel Kurek

ELO 1533

3-1Final setsKurek won

🇵🇱Marian Lebek

ELO 1557

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lebek at 54%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-1 — the underdog won.

Pawel Kurek — profile →Marian Lebek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Lebek favoured — closing 1.7

Upset

Total 74.5

73 points played

Under

Set handicap

Lebek −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Lebek −1.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

4.2

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Marian Lebek.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 42% → final 95%

Marian Lebek ▼

Biggest swing 69 ptsKurek recovered from 29%71 points · 4 games