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22 Oct · 18:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MWMichal Wolny
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1495
3-2Final setsWolny won
AKArtur Kubiak
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1526
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kubiak at 59%. The actual result was Michal Wolny 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Kubiak favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 73.5
108 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Kubiak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Artur Kubiak −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Wolny is favoured to win, below means Artur Kubiak.

▲ Michal Wolnypre 44% → final 94%
Artur Kubiak ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsWolny recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games