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22 Oct · 16:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ASAdam Staniczek
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1375
0-3Final setsSkupinski won
ASArkadiusz Skupinski
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Skupinski
ELO 1360
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Staniczek at 51%. The actual result was Arkadiusz Skupinski 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Staniczek favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 74.5
44 points played
Under
Set handicap
Adam Staniczek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adam Staniczek −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Staniczek is favoured to win, below means Arkadiusz Skupinski.

▲ Adam Staniczekpre 55% → final 1%
Arkadiusz Skupinski ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts42 points · 3 games