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22 Oct · 10:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Minda
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1461
1-3Final setsKotwica won
DKDawid Kotwica
🇵🇱Dawid Kotwica
ELO 1345
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Minda at 67%. The actual result was Dawid Kotwica 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Minda favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 73.5
66 points played
Under
Set handicap
Minda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Minda −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Minda is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kotwica.

▲ Michal Mindapre 72% → final 2%
Dawid Kotwica ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsKotwica recovered from 17%65 points · 4 games