22 Oct · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Skupinski
ELO 1360
FormLWLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Wolny
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
36%
64%
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H12-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-3)