22 Oct · 20:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1375
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wolny
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)