22 Oct · 22:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1375
FormLLLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1526
FormLWWWL
34%
66%
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+151
H2H61-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+151)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-7)