22 Oct · 20:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AS
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Skupinski
ELO 1360
FormLWLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1531
FormWLLLW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H25-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-17)