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22 Oct · 11:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1669
3-2Final setsKapik won
BCBartosz Czerwinski
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1575
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 60%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Bartosz Czerwinski.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 64% → final 79%
Bartosz Czerwinski ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsKapik recovered from 44%72 points · 5 games