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DeuceLab
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22 Oct · 11:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RNRafal Niemiec
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1597
2-3Final setsOracz won
LOLukasz Oracz
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1500
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 64%. The actual result was Lukasz Oracz 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Niemiec favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
87 points played
Over
Set handicap
Niemiec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Niemiec −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Lukasz Oracz.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 62% → final 100%
Lukasz Oracz ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsNiemiec recovered from 43%72 points · 5 games