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22 Oct · 12:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KSKarol Sulkowski
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1309
3-1Final setsSulkowski won
JZJakub Zochniak
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1552
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zochniak at 75%. The actual result was Karol Sulkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Zochniak favoured — closing 1.14
Upset
Total 69.5
71 points played
Over
Set handicap
Zochniak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Zochniak −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
12.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Sulkowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Zochniak.

▲ Karol Sulkowskipre 20% → final 91%
Jakub Zochniak ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsSulkowski recovered from 20%69 points · 4 games