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DeuceLab
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22 Oct · 12:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1669
1-3Final setsPoliniewicz won
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1690
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 51%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 75.5
75 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Poliniewicz.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 47% → final 5%
Grzegorz Poliniewicz ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games