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22 Oct · 13:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1669
2-3Final setsOlbrycht won
MOMichal Olbrycht
🇵🇱Michal Olbrycht
ELO 1671
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 51%. The actual result was Michal Olbrycht 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Michal Olbrycht.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 55% → final 77%
Michal Olbrycht ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsKapik recovered from 26%72 points · 5 games