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DeuceLab
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22 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
RNRafal Niemiec
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1597
2-3Final setsVincenec won
OVOliver Vincenec
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1506
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Niemiec at 64%. The actual result was Oliver Vincenec 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Niemiec favoured — closing 1.35
Upset
Total 74.5
100 points played
Over
Set handicap
Rafal Niemiec −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Niemiec −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Niemiec is favoured to win, below means Oliver Vincenec.

▲ Rafal Niemiecpre 69% → final 14%
Oliver Vincenec ▼
Biggest swing 71 ptsVincenec recovered from 22%72 points · 4 games