22 Oct · 20:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1628
FormWLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Zelezik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1512
FormWWWWW
63%
37%
🌟Michalik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (48)
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H26-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-5)