22 Oct · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1428
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Bernacki
LB
🇵🇱Lukasz Bernacki
ELO 1475
FormWWLLL
45%
55%
🌟Jurowicz stays under total as underdog 66% (50)
Fair odds · Bernacki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H4-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)