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22 Oct · 19:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1286
2-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1295
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 51%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslaw Rolak favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 76.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslaw Rolak −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 55% → final 2%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 40%72 points · 5 games