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22 Oct · 19:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DMDariusz Molenda
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1763
3-2Final setsMolenda won
DPDawid Pyrek
🇵🇱Dawid Pyrek
ELO 1420
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Molenda at 82%. The actual result was Dariusz Molenda 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Molenda favoured — closing 1.1
Favourite won
Total 67.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Molenda −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Molenda −10.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.1
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Dariusz Molenda is favoured to win, below means Dawid Pyrek.

▲ Dariusz Molendapre 86% → final 97%
Dawid Pyrek ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsMolenda recovered from 33%72 points · 5 games