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22 Oct · 19:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1636
3-1Final setsZmijewski won
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1372
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 78%. The actual result was Artur Zmijewski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Artur Zmijewski favoured — closing 1.22
Favourite won
Total 70.5
85 points played
Over
Set handicap
Artur Zmijewski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Artur Zmijewski −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
2.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Artur Zmijewski is favoured to win, below means Michal Machelski.

▲ Artur Zmijewskipre 77% → final 95%
Michal Machelski ▼
Biggest swing 23 pts72 points · 4 games