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22 Oct · 20:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1263
3-1Final setsGolaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1295
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 55%. The actual result was Kuba Golaszewski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.57
Upset
Total 76.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 41% → final 88%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsGolaszewski recovered from 35%72 points · 4 games