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22 Oct · 20:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JZJacek Zelezik
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1636
2-3Final setsZmijewski won
AZArtur Zmijewski
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1636
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zmijewski at 50%. The actual result was Artur Zmijewski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Zelezik favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 74.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Zelezik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Zelezik −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Zelezik is favoured to win, below means Artur Zmijewski.

▲ Jacek Zelezikpre 54% → final 23%
Artur Zmijewski ▼
Biggest swing 55 ptsZmijewski recovered from 40%72 points · 5 games